永利赌场
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Dong Li Associate Professor
Research Areas:financial econometrics, nonlinear time series analysis, network and big data
Office: Room 203-B, Weiqing Building
Phone: +86-10-62780177
Email:
[email protected]
职称
Associate Professor
地址
Room 203-B, Weiqing Building
电话
+86-10-62780177
邮箱
[email protected]
个人主页
Academic Position
Associate Professor, Center for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, 12/2016 - present.
Assistant Professor, Center for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, 11/2015 – 12/2016.
Assistant Professor, Yau Mathematical Sciences Center, Tsinghua University, 09/2013 – 10/2015.
Education
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong (2010)
Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences (2005)
Qufu Normal University (2002)
Research and Visiting Experience
2019/07-2019/08 University of Hong Kong, Research Associate
2018/08-2018/08 University of Hong Kong, Research Associate
2017/08-2017/09, University of Hong Kong, Research Associate
2015/10-2015/10, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Visiting Scholar.
2013/02-2013/08, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Visiting Scholar.
2012/05-2012/05, London School of Economics & Political Science, Visiting Scholar.
2011/08-2013/02, University of Iowa, Post-doc Fellow.
2011/02-2011/07, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Post-doc Fellow.
2005/09-2006/05, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Research Assistant.
Research Interests
Financial Econometrics
Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
Network and Big Data
Publications
Luo, D., Zhu, K.,
Gong, H.
and
Li, D.
*
(2021+). Testing error distribution by kernelized Stein discrepancy in multivariate time series models.
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
Jiang, F.Y.
,
Li, D.
, Li, W.K. and Zhu, K. (2021+). Testing and modelling for the structural change in covariance matrix time series with multiplicative form.
Statistica Sinica
.
Li, D.,
Li, M. and Zeng, L. (2021+). Simulation and application of subsampling for threshold autoregressive moving-average models,
Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation
.
Sun, L.Y.
and
Li, D.
*
(2021). Change-point detection for expected shortfall in time series.
Journal of Management Science and Engineering
6
, 324-335.
Jiang, F.Y.
,
Li, D.
and Zhu, K. (2021). Adaptive inference for a semiparametric GARCH model.
Journal of Econometrics
224
, 306-329.
Jiang, F.Y.
,
Li, D.
and Zhu, K. (2020). Non-standard inference for augmented double autoregressive models with null volatility coefficients.
Journal of Econometrics
215
, 165-183.
Li, D.
and Tong, H. (2020). On an absolute autoregressive model and skew symmetric distributions.
Statistica
80
, 177-198.
Zhou, J.,
Li, D.
, Pan, R. and Wang, H. S. (2020). Network GARCH model.
Statistica Sinica
30
, 1723-1740.
Gong, H.
and
Li, D.
*
(2020). On the three-step non-Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of heavy-tailed double AR models.
Journal of Time Series Analysis
41, 883-891.
Li, D.
*
and
Qiu, J.M.
(2020). The marginal density of a TMA (1) process.
Journal of Time Series Analysis
41
, 476-484.
Yang, Y. and
Li, D.
*
(2020). Self-weighted LAD-based inference for heavy-tailed continuous threshold autoregressive models.
Journal of Time Series Analysis
41
,163-172.
Li, D.
and Zhu, K. (2020). Inference for asymmetric exponentially weighted moving average models.
Journal of Time Series Analysis
41
,154-162.
Guo, S.,
Li, D.
and Li, M.Y. (2019). Strict stationarity testing and GLAD estimation of double autoregressive models.
Journal of Econometrics
211
, 319-337.
Li, D.,
Guo, S. and Zhu, K. (2019). Double AR model without intercept: An alternative to modeling nonstationarity and heteroscedasticity.
Econometric Reviews
38
, 319-331.
Li, D
., Ling, S., Tong, H. and Yang, G.R. (2019). On Brownian motion approximation of compound Poisson processes with applications to threshold models.
Advances in Decision Sciences
23
.
Bridging.pdf
Li, D.
and Wu, W. (2018). Renorming volatilities in a family of GARCH models.
Econometric Theory
34
, 1370-1382.
Liu, F.,
Li, D.*
and Kang, X.M. (2018). Sample path properties of an explosive double AR model.
Econometric Reviews
37
, 484-490.
Li, D.,
Zhang, X., Zhu, K. and Ling, S. (2018). The ZD-GARCH model: A new way to study heteroscedasticity.
Journal of Econometrics
202
, 1-17.
Li, D.
and Tong, H. (2016). Nested sub-sample search algorithm for estimation of threshold models.
Statistica Sinica
26
, 1543-1554.
Li, D.
, Ling, S. and Zhang, R.M. (2016). On a threshold double autoregressive model.
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
34
, 68-80.
Li, D.
, Ling, S. and Zakoïan, J.-M. (2015). Asymptotic inference in multiple-threshold double autoregressive models.
Journal of Econometrics
189
, 415-427
.
Li, D.
, Li, M. and Wu, W. (2014). On dynamics of volatilities in nonstationary GARCH models.
Statistics and Probability Letter
94,
86-90.
Chen, M.,
Li, D.
*
and Ling, S. (2014). Non-stationarity and quasi-maximum likelihood estimation on a double autoregressive model.
Journal of Time Series Analysis
35
, 189-202.
Chan, K.S.,
Li, D.
, Ling, S. and Tong, H. (2014). On conditionally heteroscedastic AR models with thresholds.
Statistica Sinica
24
, 625-652.
Li, D.
(2014). Weak convergence of the sequential empirical processes of residuals in TAR models.
Science China: Mathematics
57
, 173-180.
Li, D.
, Chan, K.S. and Schilling, K.E. (2013). Nitrate concentration trends in Iowa’s rivers, 1998 to 2012: What challenges await nutrient reduction initiatives?
Journal of Environmental Quality
42
, 1822-1828.
Li, D.
, Ling, S. and Li, W. K. (2013). Asymptotic theory on the least squares estimation of threshold moving-average models.
Econometric Theory
29
, 482-516.
Wu, W.,
Li, D.
, Pan, S. and Chen, M. (2013) Three-regime mean reversion, TAR and its applications.
Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice
33
, 901-909.
Li, D.
(2012). A note on moving-average models with feedback.
Journal of Time Series Analysis
33
, 873-879.
Li, D.
, Ling, S. and Tong, H. (2012). On moving-average models with feedback.
Bernoulli
18
, 735-745.
Li, D.
and Ling, S. (2012). On the least squares estimation of multiple-regime threshold autoregressive models.
Journal of Econometrics
167
, 240-253
Li, D.
, Li, W. K. and Ling, S. (2011). On the least squares estimation of threshold autoregressive and moving-average models.
Statistics and Its Interface
4
, 183-196.
Ling, S. and
Li, D.
(2008). Asymptotic inference for a non-stationary double AR(1) model.
Biometrika
95
, 257-263.
Ling, S., Tong, H. and
Li, D.
(2007). Ergodicity and invertibility of threshold moving-average models.
Bernoulli
13
, 161-168.
Submitted Paper
Li, D.
(2021). Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation in a simple random-coefficient nonlinear AR model.
Jiang, F.Y.
,
Li, D.
, Li, W.K. and Zhu, K. (2021). Testing and modelling for the structural change in covariance matrix time series with multiplicative form.
Zhang, X.
,
Li, D.*
and Tong, H. (2021). On the LSE of
k
-threshold-variable AR models.
Zhang, X.
and
Li, D.*
(2021). Smooth transition MA model: Estimation and testing.
Yang, X.
and
Li, D.*
(2021)
.
DAAR model: An alternative to GARCH-in-mean model.
Tao, Y.
and
Li, D.
*(2021). The dynamic duality between normal and skew-normal distributions.
Teaching
Graduate courses
Time Series Analysis. (2017/Spring)
Advanced Probability Theory I. (2016-21/Fall)
Multivariate Statistical Analysis. (2014, 2015/Spring)
Advanced Mathematical Statistics. (2014/Fall)
Undergraduate courses
Applied Time Series Analysis. (2017, 2018,2020/Spring)
Elementary Probability Theory. (2016/Fall)
Introduction to Statistics. (2018/Fall, 2020-21/Spring with Dr. K. Deng)
Financial Statistics. (2017, 2019/Spring)
Multivariate Statistical Analysis.(2021/Spring)
Service
Council member of Beijing Applied Statistic Association
中国现场统计研究会计算统计分会
理事
全国工业永利赌场 教学研究会
常务理事【
12-2022.12
】
中国青年永利赌场 家协会
常务理事
【4-2023.4】
Organizing Conference
Co-organizer, the international conference on Complex Time Series Modelling and Forecasting: Dynamic Network, Spatio-temporal Data, and Functional Processes, Tsinghua-Sanya International Mathematics Forum, Jan. 8-12, 2018. (with Professor Marc Genton at KAUST, Professor Eric D. Kolaczyk at Boston University, and Professor Qiwei Yao at the LSE)
Organizer, Mini workshop on Big Data and Internet Finance, Tsinghua University, Dec. 18, 2016.
Co-organizer, 2016 Tsinghua Symposium on Statistics and Data Science for Young Scholars, Tsinghua University, Dec. 9-11, 2016. (with Ke Deng and Lin Hou)
Co-organizer, the international conference on Time Series Econometrics, Tsinghua-Sanya International Mathematics Forum, Dec. 18-20, 2015. (with Professor Shiqing Ling at HKUST and Professor Chuanzhong Chen at Hainan Normal University)
Journal Reviewing
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
,
Annals of Statistics
,
Biometrika
,
Colombian Journal of Statistics
,
Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation
,
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
,
European Journal of Industrial Engineering
,
Econometric Theory
,
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Journal of Econometrics
,
Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
,
Journal of Risk and Financial Management
,
Metrika
,
Statistica Sinica
,
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
,
Statistics & Probability Letters
,Test.
Funding
Network-based analysis of high-dimensional time series. NSFC, 2018/01-2021/12, PI.
A study on some hypothesis testing problems in time series analysis. NSFC, 2016/01-2019/12, Co-PI.
Conditional heteroscedastic models with stable innovations: statistical inference and their applications. NSFC, 2015/01-2018/12. PI.
Curriculum Vitae:
CV
.pdf
Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful.
—— Box, G. P.
When solving a given problem, try to avoid solving a more general problem as an intermediate step.
—— Vapnik, V.